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Australia may see the creation of up to 9.3 million new jobs over the next 15 years, according to projections set out by Skills Australia in a recent report.
Oct 13,2011
Australia may see the creation of up to 9.3 million new jobs over the next 15 years, according to projections set out by Skills Australia in a recent report.
The key to filling those openings and preventing future skills shortages will be finding people with the right qualifications. So if you thought your studying days were behind you, you may have to think again.
The increasing complexity of production and the projected growth in job openings will translate into demand for additional qualifications. Up to 4.6 million additional qualifications may be needed over the next 15 years to meet the demands of employment growth.
Analysis by Access Economics reveals that job roles are becoming increasingly complex, so employees need corresponding higher levels of qualifications and skills. Skills deepening will become critical for Australia to remain competitive and productive.
Under the highest future growth scenario, the economic demand for qualifications will require that 62 per cent of employed people hold qualifications at the Certificate III level or above by 2015. The COAG (Council of Australia Governments) target would see 76 per cent of working-age Australians possess a Certificate III or higher qualification by 2020. This would necessitate an average annual increase in tertiary study enrolments of three per cent each year for at least the next 10 years – a target which may be difficult to achieve based on current enrolment rates. Skills Australia’s estimates project that by 2020, those with such qualifications will fall short of the COAG target by more than 1.5 million.
The greatest demand will be for qualifications at the diploma or degree level. While there will be a general move away from certificate qualifications, demand for Certificate III and IV qualifications, particularly specialised trade qualifications, will remain strong.
The highest growth in demand will be amongst professional, community and personal service workers. Eighteen per cent of job openings will be in professional occupations such as finance and insurance, and technical and computer services. High demand will also be seen in community and welfare services, carers and aides, university and vocational teachers, and sales and administration.
There is a clear association between level of education and labour force participation. In 2008, 86 per cent of people with a non-school qualification were employed, compared to 71 per cent of those without one. Similarly, 44 per cent of unemployed 25-to-64 year olds lacked post-school qualifications, compared to 39 per cent of all unemployed people in this age group. Those of prime working age were often hampered in their attempts to find work by a lack of skills or qualifications that would enable them to be competitive in the labour market.
Concerted efforts have been made in recent years to increase education levels, strengthen the apprenticeship system and improve labour market support for the younger and older unemployed. In 2008, 54 per cent of people aged 20 to 64 had a post-school qualification, compared to 46 per cent 10 years earlier. This is a positive trend but may not be enough to meet future employment demand and fill Australia’s skill shortages and skill gaps.
This means that updating skills and qualifications will be important for many people, including those from a diverse range of backgrounds – workers in the mid to late stages of their careers, those living in remote and regional Australia, people with disabilities, indigenous Australians, people from culturally and linguistically diverse backgrounds, mature-aged students and single parents.
We also need to take measures to increase the proportion of school leavers who progress to tertiary education. It is only by increasing the proportion of adults participating in education and training that employment and economic targets will be met.
Employers therefore need to come up with flexible and innovative ways to support ongoing education and upskilling, and accommodate the training needs of employees at different stages of their working life.
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Josie Chun shares engaging articles on career choices, workplace skills, and educational trends at Career FAQs.